The Center for Engineering Concepts Development (CECD) in the Department of Mechanical Engineering at the University of Maryland, College Park, with support from the Maryland nonprofit The Neilom Foundation are working on a new initiative to address issues surrounding the spread of the COVID-19 virus.

This new initiative plans to foster the conceptualization and development of tools and technologies that can be used to both combat pandemics and cope with them. The range of tools and technologies are expected to include modeling and simulation tools, virus detection technologies, and ventilator technologies, to name a few. The TTP group is led by Dr. Balakumar Balachandran, Professor and Chair of Mechanical Engineering at the University of Maryland, College Park.

The initial work of this group focuses on the prediction of COVID-19 cases in the DC, Maryland and Virginia regions.

The following charts are the TTP group’s predictions of Total and Daily COVID-19 cases for Maryland, Maryland counties, and Virginia. The charts shown here are based on the work in this recently published paper: COVID-19: Data-Driven Dynamics, Statistical and Distributed-Delay Models, and Observations. These charts are interactive and you can select any point along the line to see specific data points. Links to more charts are below.

COVID-19 Predictions: Daily Cases and Totals

(Delayed SEIQR model with 4 phases is used for US and States)
United States
> State of Arizona
> State of California
> Washington DC
> State of Florida
> State of Michigan
> State of Pennsylvania
> State of Texas
> State of Virginia
> State of Maryland
(Generalized logistic model is used for the following counties in MD)
-> Allegany County
-> Anne Arundel County
-> Baltimore City
-> Baltimore County
-> Calvert County
-> Caroline County
-> Carroll County
-> Cecil County
-> Charles County
-> Dorchester County
-> Frederick County
-> Garrett County
-> Harford County
-> Howard County
-> Kent County
-> Montgomery County
-> Prince George’s County
-> Queen Anne’s County
-> Somerset County
-> St. Mary’s County
-> Talbot County
-> Washington County
-> Wicomico County
-> Worcester County